Student list, ≥5%
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves25 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 28 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 95% |
| 26 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 99% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Student list wins the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of at least 5%. The outcome is No if the margin falls below that threshold or if they do not win. Readers often mistake the required margin for a simple plurality win rather than a specific percentage gap.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%