North Carolina
Implied probability 18%−2
24-hour volume$399
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 18:42 UTC | 23% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the winner of the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in North Carolina wins by a margin of 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive. The market resolves to No if the winning margin exceeds 5 percentage points. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the campaign rather than the official certification of the election results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%