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Russia

Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if the US Secretary of State visits Russia before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if that visit does not happen by the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Iraq for the relevant event, but only a visit to Russia counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 2%
  • No 98%

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