Russia
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the US Secretary of State visits Russia before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if that visit does not happen by the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Iraq for the relevant event, but only a visit to Russia counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%