Yes
Why it moved: −5 points at 14:56 UTC, after Fortune: ‘Pick another protein’: A cattle rancher senator’s answer on beef prices could give Democrats their first Mississippi Senate win since 1982 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 14:43 UTC | 39% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Chuck Schumer announces his intention to run for Senate in 2028 before April 6, 2028. It resolves to No if he does not make such an announcement by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about midterm losses as the resolution criteria, but only a specific future announcement regarding the 2028 election counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 34%
- No 66%