Above 85
Implied probability 15%−1
24-hour volume$346
Total volume$37k
Liquidity$37k
Resolves23 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 16% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Tomatometer score for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping exceeds 85 on November 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the release date of the film for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 15%
- No 85%