Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
Implied probability 68%−2
24-hour volume$924
Total volume$93k
Liquidity$93k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Oct, 05:08 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 66% |
| 6 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 66% |
| 6 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 72% |
| 5 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 74% |
| 5 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 75% |
| 5 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Oct, 00:34 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 74% |
| 3 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Oct, 18:16 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 75% |
| 3 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 79% |
| 3 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Oct, 04:24 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 66% |
| 2 Oct, 23:18 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 18:26 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Oct, 05:12 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Oct, 00:08 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 70% |
| 30 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 69% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 69% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 70% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 71% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mark Ruffalo performs as or is officially announced as the Hulk in the movie Avengers: Doomsday. The outcome depends on his actual casting status for that specific film, not general rumors about other Marvel projects. Readers often mistake news about his return in unrelated movies or vague director comments for a confirmed appearance in this title.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 68%
- No 32%