Texas
Implied probability 97%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$79k
Liquidity$79k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 12:32 UTC | 97% |
| 2 Oct, 01:40 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 98% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Texas legislature adopts new congressional district maps between now and November 1, 2026. The outcome is No if no such maps are adopted by that date. Readers often mistake the news story about voter registration for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%