Florida
Implied probability 97%−2
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$75k
Liquidity$75k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 27 Sept, 19:02 UTC | 99% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Florida legislature adopts new congressional district maps between now and November 1, 2026. It resolves to No if no such maps are adopted by that deadline. Readers often mistake the current Attorney General's actions for legislative approval, but only the legislature's adoption of new maps counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%