Parti Québécois
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Parti Québécois finishes fifth in the 2026 Quebec general election based on certified results. The outcome is No for all other finishing positions. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about a future referendum for the actual resolution criteria, which depends solely on the party's final ranking in the election.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%