Pete Hegseth
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$528k
Total volume$2.1M
Liquidity$2.1M
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Pete Hegseth wins the Republican presidential nomination and accepts it. The outcome is No if he does not win or accept the nomination. Readers often mistake the linked news story about urging troops to register as a factor in the resolution, but only the 2028 nomination status matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 100%