Before 2027
The market favoured Yes at 60% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 95%
24-hour volume$411
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolved1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 30 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Sept, 21:00 UTC | 60% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if a New York State court grants preliminary or permanent injunctive or annulment relief against the city's pied-à-terre surcharge in O'Brien v. City of New York before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if such relief is not granted within that timeframe.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%