Seamus Power
The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$666
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$24k
Resolved22 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 26 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 90% |
| 24 Oct, 12:23 UTC | 82% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%