Andrew Novak
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$95
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolved22 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 4% |
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%