Manon Bannerman
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$405
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolved31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 01:41 UTC | 4% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Manon Bannerman performs or an announcement of their performance occurs at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026 during the official event timeframe. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the performance date; only actions within the official event timeframe count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%