Lara Raj
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$98
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolved31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 15 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 99% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Lara Raj performs or has a performance announced for The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026 during the official event timeframe. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked story about Adéla at the Fonda Theatre as relevant, but only events at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%