JAY-Z
The market favoured Yes at 67% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 98%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$48k
Liquidity$48k
Resolved27 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 27 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 82% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 83% |
| 27 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 78% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 76% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 16:31 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 14:30 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 67% |
| 26 Oct, 01:34 UTC | 75% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Oct, 20:26 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Oct, 12:10 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 84% |
| 24 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 83% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 84% |
| 24 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 83% |
| 23 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 86% |
| 23 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 84% |
| 23 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 86% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 84% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 87% |
| 23 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 84% |
| 23 Oct, 16:50 UTC | 87% |
| 23 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 84% |
| 23 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 91% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 88% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 91% |
| 23 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 88% |
| 23 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 94% |
| 23 Oct, 05:04 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 94% |
| 23 Oct, 04:24 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 91% |
| 23 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 88% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 89% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 89% |
| 22 Oct, 20:48 UTC | 88% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 89% |
| 22 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 86% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Oct, 12:36 UTC | 86% |
| 22 Oct, 11:07 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 86% |
| 22 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 83% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if JAY-Z performs at or is announced to perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show on February 14, 2027. It resolves to No if this specific event does not occur within the official timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked U2 news story as relevant, but only JAY-Z's participation in the 2027 game matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%