Narnia: The Magician's Nephew
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 19:03 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the film wins Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome is No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the trailer release for the resolution event, but only the Oscar result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%