Being Heumann
Implied probability 16%+1
24-hour volume$12
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 03:12 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 22% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The film must receive a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards for the outcome to be Yes. If it does not get this specific nomination, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake general critical acclaim or other award nominations for the required Academy Award nomination.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 84%