Zendaya
Why it moved: −14 points at 21:48 UTC, after The A.V. Club: Zendaya decides her Dune: Part Three work is Best Actress material — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 24 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Oct, 00:04 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 30% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 22% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 12:53 UTC | 10% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Zendaya receives a nomination for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the release of her new film or general critical acclaim as sufficient conditions, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 23%
- No 77%