John Turturro
Implied probability 51%+1
24-hour volume$189
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 53% |
| 30 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 53% |
| 30 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 51% |
| 29 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 53% |
| 27 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 54% |
| 27 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 50% |
| 27 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 45% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 48% |
| 27 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 50% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 36% |
| 26 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 40% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 49% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 44% |
| 25 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 44% |
| 24 Oct, 22:05 UTC | 43% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if John Turturro receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome is No if he does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake any award or recognition for an Oscar nomination, but only an official Best Actor nomination counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 51%
- No 49%