Andrew Scott
Implied probability 86%+1
24-hour volume$35
Total volume$27k
Liquidity$27k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 86% |
| 9 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 85% |
| 8 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 85% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Oct, 12:17 UTC | 83% |
| 5 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 85% |
| 3 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 86% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Andrew Scott receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the release of trailers or news articles about his role as sufficient evidence for a nomination.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 86%
- No 14%