Above 65
Implied probability 98%
24-hour volume$44
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 23 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 98% |
| 22 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 94% |
| 21 Oct, 09:00 UTC | 91% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the number of downloads for the Carbon Arc Netflix app in October 2026 exceeds 65. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the download period; the data must come from October 2026, not any other month.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%