4+ wins
Implied probability 40%+4
24-hour volume$657
Total volume$150k
Liquidity$150k
Resolves18 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 40% |
| 26 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 42% |
| 26 Oct, 10:00 UTC | 43% |
| 26 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 41% |
| 26 Oct, 04:04 UTC | 43% |
| 26 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 36% |
| 26 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 42% |
| 25 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 43% |
| 25 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 36% |
| 25 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 32% |
| 25 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 24% |
| 24 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 25% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Miami Pro Football team wins four or more games during the 2026-27 regular season. It resolves to No if they win fewer than four games. Readers often mistake the linked story about a single game for the final outcome, but only the total count of regular-season victories matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 40%
- No 60%