Marvin Harrison Jr.
The market favoured Yes at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 98%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolved12 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 99% |
| 10 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 95% |
| 10 Oct, 18:39 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 94% |
| 10 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 95% |
| 10 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 98% |
| 10 Oct, 00:12 UTC | 52% |
| 9 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 90% |
| 8 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 33% |
| 8 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 56% |
| 7 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 58% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 65% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Marvin Harrison Jr. is traded before December 1, 2026. The outcome is No if he remains with his current team through that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the start of the trade window rather than the final cutoff.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%