Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+
The market favoured Yes at 51% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$74k
Total volume$83k
Liquidity$83k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 44% |
| 27 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Sept, 09:50 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 51% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 51% |
| 26 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Sept, 20:28 UTC | 51% |
| 25 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 52% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Amon-Ra St. Brown scores at least one touchdown in the New York Jets vs. Detroit Lions game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not score a touchdown in that specific game. Readers often mistake the linked news story about an unsportsmanlike conduct fine as the resolution criteria, but only touchdowns in the specified game count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%