Travis Hunter: 1+
The market favoured No at 93% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$209k
Total volume$252k
Liquidity$252k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 20:07 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 19:20 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 18:20 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 7% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Travis Hunter scores at least one touchdown in the New England vs Jacksonville Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistakenly believe that any point scored by Hunter counts toward the resolution, but only touchdowns matter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%