J.K. Dobbins: 1+
The market favoured No at 65% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$372k
Total volume$385k
Liquidity$385k
Resolved30 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 28 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 16% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Sept, 02:25 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Sept, 01:43 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 34% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 20:22 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 33% |
| 27 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 09:09 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 06:47 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 34% |
| 25 Sept, 22:46 UTC | 37% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if J.K. Dobbins scores at least one touchdown in the Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not score a touchdown or if the game does not take place on that original date. Readers often mistakenly check the final result of a rescheduled game rather than confirming whether the event occurred on the specified original date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%