Aaron Rodgers: 1+
The market favoured No at 93% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$12k
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 20:22 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Sept, 19:27 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 17:45 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 7% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Aaron Rodgers scores at least one touchdown in the Cincinnati versus Pittsburgh game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. It resolves to No if he fails to score any touchdowns or if that specific game does not take place on the scheduled date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%