Jake Ferguson: 1+
Implied probability 99%+73
24-hour volume$103k
Total volume$111k
Liquidity$111k
Resolves29 Sept 2026
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jake Ferguson scores at least one touchdown in the Baltimore versus Dallas game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. It resolves to No if he fails to score any touchdowns in that specific matchup. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a beer fine as relevant, but only actual game touchdowns count toward the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%