Baltimore wins by over 4.5 points
Implied probability 1%−41
24-hour volume$130k
Total volume$381k
Liquidity$381k
Resolves20 Oct 2026
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What counts
Baltimore must win by more than 4.5 points in the game against Cleveland originally scheduled for October 18, 2026, for the outcome to be Yes. Readers often mistake the final score margin for a simple win or loss, but the specific point spread determines the result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%