Patrick Mahomes
Implied probability 25%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves2 Feb 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes throws for at least 4,500 passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his philanthropy as relevant, but only his on-field statistical performance counts toward the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 25%
- No 75%