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Caleb Williams

Implied probability 70%+5
24-hour volume$4
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves2 Feb 2027

Why it moved: +5 points at 22:05 UTC, after Inc.: The NFL Fined Caleb Williams $35,823 for His Cleats. A Baltimore Startup Wants to Foot the Bill — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Caleb Williams
0%50%100%70%31 Oct, 11:50 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now70%
4 Nov, 22:05 UTC70%
1 Nov, 03:19 UTC65%
31 Oct, 11:50 UTC75%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

Caleb Williams must throw for at least 3,000 yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for the outcome to be Yes. The count includes only official passing yards from regular-season games and excludes playoffs or preseason. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of the calendar year rather than the conclusion of the 2026-27 regular season.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 70%
  • No 30%

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