Jalon Daniels: 175+
The market favoured No at 53% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$14k
Total volume$23k
Liquidity$23k
Resolved6 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 26% |
| 4 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 40% |
| 4 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 27% |
| 4 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 30% |
| 4 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Oct, 11:36 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 47% |
| 2 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 47% |
| 1 Oct, 11:04 UTC | 50% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Jalon Daniels throws for at least 175 passing yards in the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. The outcome is No if he throws for fewer than 175 yards or does not play. Readers often mistake the original scheduled date for the actual game date, but the resolution depends on the specific game referenced.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%