Brock Purdy: 3+
Implied probability 19%−1
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 9 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 19% |
| 8 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 20% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Brock Purdy throws three or more passing touchdowns in the scheduled game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks on October 11, 2026. It resolves to No if he throws fewer than three passing touchdowns in that specific contest. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the season rather than the conclusion of this single game.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 19%
- No 81%