Kansas City
Implied probability 35%−12
24-hour volume$183
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 20:14 UTC | 36% |
| 31 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 38% |
| 31 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 47% |
| 31 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 46% |
| 31 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Oct, 23:02 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 44% |
| 29 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Josh Downs joins a Kansas City professional football team before December 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline as the date of the trade request rather than the final joining date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 35%
- No 65%