Green Bay
The market favoured Yes at 52% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$24.1M
Total volume$25.6M
Liquidity$25.6M
Resolved21 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 19 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 96% |
| 19 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 85% |
| 19 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 86% |
| 19 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 81% |
| 19 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 71% |
| 19 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 63% |
| 18 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 50% |
| 18 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 50% |
| 18 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 50% |
| 18 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 51% |
| 18 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 04:11 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 07:40 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 06:54 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 04:23 UTC | 51% |
| 16 Oct, 23:30 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 51% |
| 16 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 18:31 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 51% |
| 16 Oct, 15:31 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 53% |
| 16 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 53% |
| 16 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 53% |
| 16 Oct, 11:09 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 53% |
| 16 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 53% |
| 16 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 53% |
| 16 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 53% |
| 16 Oct, 01:09 UTC | 53% |
| 15 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 53% |
| 15 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 53% |
| 15 Oct, 14:57 UTC | 54% |
| 15 Oct, 14:06 UTC | 53% |
| 15 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 53% |
| 15 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 54% |
| 15 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 53% |
| 15 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 53% |
| 15 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 53% |
| 15 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 52% |
| 15 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 53% |
| 14 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 53% |
| 14 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 53% |
| 14 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 53% |
| 14 Oct, 12:06 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 53% |
| 14 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 54% |
| 13 Oct, 22:31 UTC | 54% |
| 13 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 54% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 53% |
| 13 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 54% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 54% |
| 13 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 53% |
| 13 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 53% |
| 13 Oct, 16:11 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 53% |
| 13 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Oct, 12:44 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 51% |
| 13 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 51% |
| 13 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 51% |
| 13 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 52% |
| 12 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 52% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Green Bay wins the NFL game against Dallas originally scheduled for October 18, 2026. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific matchup. Readers often mistake the linked story about a past victory over Chicago as the deciding factor, but only the outcome of the future Cowboys game counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%