Seattle
Implied probability 61%+2
24-hour volume$9k
Total volume$109k
Liquidity$109k
Resolves13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 22:12 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 60% |
| 7 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 60% |
| 7 Oct, 14:26 UTC | 60% |
| 7 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 60% |
| 7 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 60% |
| 7 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 59% |
| 7 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 60% |
| 7 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 59% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 60% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 59% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 57% |
| 6 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 59% |
| 6 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 58% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 59% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 58% |
| 5 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 58% |
| 5 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 63% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Seattle wins the NFL game against the San Francisco 49ers scheduled for October 11, 2026. It resolves to No if Seattle loses or does not win that specific matchup. Readers often mistake this resolution for being tied to the Seahawks' recent victory over the Chargers.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 61%
- No 39%