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Cleveland

Resolved: No 26d ago

The market favoured No at 56% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$13.2M
Total volume$13.8M
Liquidity$13.8M
Resolved13 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Cleveland
0%50%100%1%7 Oct, 00:35 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
11 Oct, 20:27 UTC16%
11 Oct, 19:52 UTC39%
11 Oct, 19:24 UTC35%
11 Oct, 18:17 UTC43%
11 Oct, 17:57 UTC32%
11 Oct, 08:43 UTC44%
11 Oct, 08:25 UTC44%
11 Oct, 04:41 UTC44%
11 Oct, 03:13 UTC44%
11 Oct, 02:54 UTC44%
11 Oct, 01:40 UTC44%
10 Oct, 20:47 UTC44%
10 Oct, 19:30 UTC44%
10 Oct, 19:24 UTC43%
10 Oct, 13:28 UTC44%
10 Oct, 12:54 UTC44%
10 Oct, 11:41 UTC44%
10 Oct, 11:18 UTC44%
10 Oct, 10:58 UTC44%
10 Oct, 06:19 UTC45%
10 Oct, 04:40 UTC45%
10 Oct, 03:20 UTC45%
9 Oct, 22:31 UTC45%
9 Oct, 22:24 UTC44%
9 Oct, 21:51 UTC45%
9 Oct, 10:15 UTC45%
9 Oct, 05:13 UTC44%
9 Oct, 02:41 UTC45%
9 Oct, 02:28 UTC45%
9 Oct, 01:36 UTC45%
9 Oct, 01:29 UTC44%
8 Oct, 23:23 UTC45%
8 Oct, 21:48 UTC45%
8 Oct, 20:54 UTC45%
8 Oct, 17:34 UTC45%
8 Oct, 17:01 UTC46%
8 Oct, 16:53 UTC45%
8 Oct, 14:12 UTC46%
8 Oct, 13:59 UTC45%
8 Oct, 11:32 UTC46%
8 Oct, 11:25 UTC45%
8 Oct, 06:26 UTC46%
8 Oct, 02:54 UTC46%
8 Oct, 00:06 UTC46%
7 Oct, 23:46 UTC45%
7 Oct, 15:48 UTC46%
7 Oct, 13:33 UTC46%
7 Oct, 13:12 UTC45%
7 Oct, 11:03 UTC46%
7 Oct, 10:57 UTC45%
7 Oct, 07:20 UTC46%
7 Oct, 00:35 UTC45%

What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the Cleveland Browns win their game against the New York Jets on October 11, 2026. It resolves to No if they lose or tie that specific matchup. Readers often mistake any other Cleveland victory for a resolution, but only this particular game counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

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