Carolina
The market favoured No at 64% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$23.2M
Total volume$23.3M
Liquidity$23.3M
Resolved7 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 5 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 64% |
| 5 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 48% |
| 5 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 45% |
| 5 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 48% |
| 5 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 35% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Carolina Panthers win their game against the Detroit Lions on October 4, 2026. It resolves to No if they lose or if the game does not take place as scheduled. Readers often mistake the linked injury report for the resolution criteria, but only the final game result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%