Drake Maye
The market favoured No at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Sept, 23:56 UTC | 4% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Drake Maye scores the first touchdown in the Patriots vs. Jaguars game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the rule applies to any future game rather than only this specific scheduled matchup.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%