Patrick Mahomes
Implied probability 1%−5
24-hour volume$63k
Total volume$74k
Liquidity$74k
Resolves29 Sept 2026
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes scores the first touchdown in the Kansas City vs Miami game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not score that specific touchdown or if the game does not occur as planned. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Travis Kelce as relevant to the resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%