Kenneth Walker III
The market favoured No at 78% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$125k
Total volume$137k
Liquidity$137k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Sept, 13:22 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 04:18 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Sept, 03:12 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 02:39 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Sept, 02:01 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Sept, 22:06 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Sept, 20:20 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Sept, 05:08 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Sept, 00:56 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Sept, 23:29 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Sept, 15:35 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Sept, 13:46 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Sept, 07:21 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Sept, 05:02 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Sept, 02:26 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Sept, 01:26 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 22% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Sept, 20:10 UTC | 22% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Sept, 19:46 UTC | 20% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Kenneth Walker III scores the first touchdown in the Chiefs vs. Dolphins game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked headline about Andy Reid’s comments as relevant to the resolution, but only the actual game result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%