Jahmyr Gibbs
The market favoured Yes at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$45
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 28 Sept, 08:00 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 22:32 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 21:37 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Sept, 21:22 UTC | 98% |
| 26 Sept, 20:59 UTC | 53% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Jahmyr Gibbs ranks among the top five running backs for total full-PPR fantasy points in Week 3 of the 2026 NFL regular season. The outcome is No if he does not finish in that top five group. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the resolution depends on his performance in a different week or season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%