Pat Surtain
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$47k
Liquidity$47k
Resolves8 Feb 2028
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Pat Surtain wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 season; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the date of his injury for the resolution deadline or assume current performance guarantees the win. The official source of truth is the final announcement by the Associated Press.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%