1: Buffalo / 2: New England / 3: New York J / 4: Miami
Implied probability 47%−7
24-hour volume$102
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 47% |
| 8 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 47% |
| 8 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 54% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 48% |
| 5 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 58% |
| 5 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 59% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Buffalo finishes first, New England second, New York Jets third, and Miami fourth in the AFC East at the end of the 2026-27 regular season. It resolves to No for any other final standing order. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline as the end of the playoffs rather than the conclusion of the regular season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 47%
- No 53%