Shabana Mahmood
Implied probability 19%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves8 Jan 2035
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 22:12 UTC | 19% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Shabana Mahmood becomes Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035, and she is the first person with her specific identity to hold that office after the market launches. The outcome is No if this does not happen within the timeframe or if someone else holds the position first.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 19%
- No 81%