Sam Altman
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves1 Jan 2033
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Forbes reports that Sam Altman becomes the second person in history to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion before January 1, 2033. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline or assume any other source besides Forbes counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%