Toronto Maple Leafs
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 3% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Connor McDavid joins the Toronto Maple Leafs before November 1, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not join by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about Kirill Marchenko as relevant, but only McDavid's team matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%