Carolina Hurricanes
The market favoured Yes at 65% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 84% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 15% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 9% |
| 21 Oct, 07:50 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 7% |
| 18 Oct, 17:31 UTC | 26% |
| 18 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 40% |
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Connor Hellebuyck signs with the Carolina Hurricanes before November 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly focus on the linked story about Andrei Vasilevskiy or other goalie contracts instead of Hellebuyck's specific situation.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%