Stays with Philadelphia or Retires
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$40k
Liquidity$40k
Resolves21 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 17 Oct, 16:16 UTC | 99% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 96% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Joel Embiid’s next team is either the Philadelphia 76ers or he retires before October 21, 2026. The deadline for this event is strictly October 21, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked story about LeBron James as the determining factor, but only Embiid's status matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%